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Chance of getting snow crystal
It takes approximately 10% to get the snow crystal. From a very small sample size of 22 runs, I managed to get 2 snow crystals.
1st Snow Crystal - 6th Run.
2nd Snow Crystal - 22nd Run.
I would think there needs to be a bit larger sample size to see more results. That's just me though. I would say it's the same rate as a dungeon pass drops from an end chest.
148 runs. 26 yielded crystals. 17.567567567...%
Done over the course of a week, doing somewhere between 10~25 runs a day because I needed Snow Crystals for Transformation Mastery. Not to mention low collection rate is low e-e
I once ran Par Ruins...first run I got a snow crystal. I didn't even know what it was or what I was suppose to do with it.
I'm compiling the data we have based on what we have so far:
- LawLies: 22 runs, 2 successes.
- LexisMikaya: 148 runs, 26 successes.
- Me: 90 runs, 4 successes.
- Total: 250 runs, 32 successes.
- Using a binomial confidence interval calculator, the 95 % confidence interval for drop probability is between 8.92 % - 17.59 %.
Keep in mind that there may be a bit of error, like the fact that Tuesdays increase dungeon drop rates, but this is still a pretty good estimate of the probability.