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Water cannon Range modifier
That is a semantic argument that plays on the relative nature of chance with no regard to physical truth.
One can determine what is the true max and min because it is given. We do not need statistics to determine it.
If you want us to accept a formula you have to go by the guidelines.
1) The current formula on a page will NOT be changed until a wholly correct formula is available to replace it.
2) 1 example that goes against a proposed formula will render that formula completely incorrect.
3) Statistics are not allowed in damage calculation verification. Only the min and max damage may be used.
Damage Calculation verification method.
Step 1) Obtain formula
Step 2) Ascertain the min and max damage (predicted)
Step 3) Run multiple trials until the true min and max are found.
Step 4) If the true min and max do not match formula (even by 1 point) check for errors made.
Step 5) If no errors can be found, use the known information to formulate new equation that accounts for damage in 100% of situations (this can be done via simple algebra).
Known values for water cannon: Base Max, Base Min, Additional Damage Value, Alchemy Mastery Modifier, Critical Modifier.
Use these to find the unknowns.